Construction of a new Goochland Elementary School (GES) has
been on the drawing board for quite some time. It began as an entry in the
county's capital improvement plan a few years ago. Based on county population growth
expectations, its capacity was increased to 700—650 K through grade 5 students
plus 50 preschool students— in about 104,000 square feet. What, at the time,
was considered to be an inclusive and conservative estimate of its cost, a bit
over $39.3 million, was mentioned in last November's bond referendum.
The rampant inflation infecting every facet of our lives,
has also played havoc with the new GES. Initial estimates came in about $54.3, roughly
$15 million higher than expected. The School Division went back to the drawing
broad earlier this year for a redesign in hopes of significantly reducing the price
tag. The estimated cost of the new design, a simpler building with a smaller
footprint, lopped only about $1.4 million off bottom line.
On April 12, a joint workshop between the school board and
supervisors addressed the issue. As the cost estimate for the latest iteration
of the school was "hot off the presses", there were many unanswered
questions. Among them, could the school as designed be built on an alternate
site more economically. A factor in the high cost of the school is the site
work needed for construction on a parcel of land on Bulldog Way, which was already
owned by the school division. The redesign had little impact on the cost of
site work, which involves wetlands and needs approval from the Army Corps of
Engineers.
How to proceed was the topic of the April 12 meeting. Jeremy
Raley, Ed. D., superintendent of county schools contended that "time is of
the essence" with the project, which has already fallen behind schedule,
so the new GES can be opened at the start of the 24-25 school year.
Raley said that other Virginia school divisions are
grappling with construction projects coming in over budget at similar
percentages. He shared some good news. The high school cooling tower
replacement project, which was budgeted at $1.1 million came in at $600k and
the GMS/GHS paving project was $300k under budget.
The new GES is still in the conceptual design phase,
explained Raley, the numbers on the table are best "guestimates". The
design needs to be completed in detail and go out to bid to obtain a clear
picture of actual costs. Given the delays that have already occurred, the
project would not be ready to go out to bid until the end of 2022, with building
perhaps beginning in early 2023 providing about an 18-month construction cycle
in order to open in the summer of 2024.
School Board Chair Mike Newman, District 4, said that the
school division either needs to decide not to go forward, or prepare the
project for bids. "We've made a commitment to the community. We were all
shocked at the costs. Everything we've tried to do is to get to less cost so
that it's in the range of possibility. I think we have to go forward with the design
so that when that number comes back, that will be when we know what we can
do."
District 3 Supervisor John Lumpkins, Jr., a former school
board member, wondered if saving a million bucks on the redesign is worth it.
Board Char Neil Spoonhower, District 2 asked what the school
board wants the supervisors to do.
Newman acknowledged that the schools look to the supervisors
to pay for the school. He hoped that when the final costs are known, a solution
to bridge the funding gap can be found. The school board, he said, has already
looked at the larger amount of money available from the bond sale and wondered
if any of that could be used on the new GES. Newman said that while the costs
were not what had been expected, continual revision to the design to fit the
budget could result in a school that will not serve the community well in the
long term.
District 5 Supervisor Ken Peterson asked about a plan B for
an alternate site or total renovation of the exiting building. Raley said that
the schools have not moved forward on any of those possible options.
J. D. Wright, District 5 school board member said building
consensus is difficult because the latest information is so new. He said that
in his business construction costs have come down a little from initial estimates.
Wright was hopeful that a way can be found through value engineering and postponing
other school projects in the CIP to fund the new GES.
There was some conversation about deferring the project, in expectation
of a possible recession that could lower construction costs. As the debt service
meter on the $60 million of bonds is ticking, there is a cost to delay.
Concerns were raised about a breach of community trust if
the county spent about 30 percent more on the school than was approved in the
referendum. Peterson said that the citizens were told that their tax rates
would not increase, nor would the county's
"rainy day" fund be raided to pay for the capital projects funded by
the bonds.
Raley said that until the bids come in, the "projected
costs" are one firm's estimate. "We won't know the final price until
bid day."
Interim County Administrator, the Hon. Manuel Alvarez, Jr.,
former District 2 supervisor, said that it seemed like the school board was
asking the supervisors to approve a blank check for $53 million.
Angela Allen, District 2 School Board member said, "I
think we're (schools) asking you to stay in the boat with us, sink or swim,
until the bids come back and then we'll decide if we need the boat."
District 1 Supervisor Susan Lascolette said that she was
unwilling to do anything at that point without more information.
Peterson said, that as long as the costs for the new GES are
competitive with what other divisions in Virginia are paying and both boards
come together to find ways to fill the gap, there would be no breach of citizen
trust.
Schools will go back and present the supervisors with results
of cursory investigations of alternate sites without incurring additional
expense. A plan for finding the additional $13.6 million by moving projects
around in the CIP and other fund sources will also be presented.
Board of Supervisors' Chair Neil Spoonhower, District 2 said
that both boards need to find consensus on the issue, which is difficult with so
many unknowns. Hopefully, in the next few weeks, additional data will help to
fill the void. Kudos to the supervisors and school board for honest and
constructive discussions about the new GES project.
To listen to the April 12 conversation, go to the county
website https://www.goochlandva.us/
and click on "watch county meetings" tab.